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Research > Higher Education > Affirmative Action

February 7, 2003

Percent Plans in College Admissions:
A Comparative Analysis of Three States' Experiences

By Catherine L. Horn and Stella M. Flores
Foreword by Gary Orfield

 

IN THE NEWS

For press coverage by major media on this report, please see our In the News section.

POLICY

Court Decisions

In the spring of 2003, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear arguments in two cases that will profoundly impact the future of affirmative action in higher education. The lawsuits against the University of Michigan’s Law School (Grutter v. Bollinger) and the undergraduate College of Literature, Science, and the Arts (Gratz v. Bollinger), both challenge policies that consider race/ethnicity as one factor among many in their admissions decisions.

RESEARCH

Talented 20 Program in Florida

After a review of Florida state and institutional data and interviews with staff at five campuses of the Florida State University System and several Florida state agencies, this report describes the history, implementation, and effects of the Talented 20 Program. The report concludes that Talented 20 Plan is, in fact, not race-neutral and is not an effective alternative to race-conscious affirmative action.
 
Executive Summary Full Report

Percent plans - admitting a certain percent of the highest performing graduates of each high school to public universities in a state - have emerged as a basic response to the end of race-conscious affirmative action in three of the country’s most populous states – Texas, California, and Florida. This report draws on data from state agencies, the federal National Center for Education Statistics, the U.S. Census, institutional and state documents, and interviews, to assess the impact of these policies on maintaining racial/ethnic diversity without using race or ethnicity as a factor in university admissions.

Although these plans have been presented as effective alternatives to race-conscious affirmative action, our research shows that it is incorrect to attribute any significant increase in campus diversity to a percent plan alone. A variety of race-conscious outreach, recruitment, financial aid, and support programs appears to be central to the ability of some campuses to even partially recover from the loss of minority students that follows the abolition of affirmative action. In almost every case, however, even with these additional efforts in place, institutions have not been successful in maintaining racially/ethnically diverse campuses through percent plans. And, relative to the current college-age population in each of these states, none of the campuses reflects the students they are intended to serve.

Major Findings:

  • There is insufficient evidence to suggest that percent plans, even with other race-conscious processes, are effective alternatives to using race/ethnicity as a factor in admissions processes.
  • Percent plans only set basic requirements for who can automatically be admitted to a campus or to a system so the implementation of the plan at individual institutions varies dramatically. Therefore, there is no standard model to which to compare how well these plans work or whether they could be replicated.
  • Percent plans do not address admissions to private colleges or to graduate or professional programs. They also do not apply to out-of-state students.
  • The University of Texas at Austin (UT) consciously supplements the 10 percent plan with outreach and scholarship programs. Targeting a specific set of traditionally underrepresented high schools in communities where large shares of blacks and Hispanics live results in these efforts being functionally race-attentive.
  • At Texas A&M, the 10 percent plan has not led to diversity at nearly the levels achieved through the use of affirmative action. Therefore, the 10 percent plan cannot be held out as a model of success.
  • The Texas 10 percent plan guarantees students admission to their campus of choice while the Florida and California percent plans guarantee admission only to the main state university system.
  • The higher education systems in California, Florida, and Texas vary widely in quality and standing. Both UCLA and Berkeley rank among the top institutions in the country, while neither of the Florida schools is nationally ranked. Of the two flagship universities in Texas, only UT Austin is loosely comparable to the California flagships in terms of reputation. Even then, UT admits higher shares of applicants than either UCLA or Berkeley, the two schools that are most relevant to the possibilities on nationally competitive campuses.

Affirmative action must try to cope with the system of educational inequality in the three states:

  • Texas, California, and Florida had low levels of minority access to higher education even before losing race-conscious affirmative action.
  • These three states have rapidly rising shares of blacks and Hispanics among 15 to 19 year olds.
  • Each of the states has deeply unequal educational K-12 outcomes by race and ethnicity and serious increases in racial segregation.
  • In all three states, the gap between the college age population, by race, and the applications, admissions, and enrollments of first time in college students to the states’ university systems and to their premier campuses is substantial. The gap has grown even as the states have become more diverse.

Percent plans alone will not serve as effective alternatives to affirmative action. In the best of circumstances, they have only been able to promote racial and ethnic diversity on campuses when they are coupled with recruitment, outreach, financial aid, and support programs targeted at underrepresented communities with large minority student populations - all elements of solid race-conscious affirmative action plans. Race-conscious affirmative action remains a stronger and more effective strategy for achieving racially and ethnically diverse campuses, particularly if it was bolstered by some of the resources and policies developed in the wake of its elimination.


To view the COMPLETE REPORT and study conducted by The Civil Rights Project go to:

Percent Plans in College Admissions: A Comparative Analysis of Three States' Experiences
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