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Research > Books > Chilling Admissions

Chilling Admissions:
The Affirmative Action Crisis and the Search for Alternatives

Chapter 1
Campus Resegregation and Its Alternatives

Gary Orfield

Chilling Admissions book.After a generation of serious efforts by U.S. colleges and universities to reverse their historic exclusion of African Americans, Latinos, and American Indians, these institutions are suddenly facing a frontal attack on the programs, policies, and commitments born of those efforts. Threatened by court decisions, referenda, political attacks, and lawsuits, colleges are struggling to foresee the consequences of abandoning affirmative action and to devise viable alternatives for promoting and preserving campus diversity. This volume documents and examines that struggle.

As the communities around them become more and more diverse, many campuses that have been forced to end affirmative admissions are now rapidly turning whiter. There are fewer minority applicants, and those who are admitted often choose to go elsewhere rather than face severe isolation. These changes can create a vicious circle of resegregation. Denying the benefits of a college education to groups that are destined to become the majority in many cities and states raises explosive issues. The first troubling examples are already evident. At the leading public law schools in Texas and California, states where the majority of students are now Latino or black, the enrollment of blacks and Latinos has dropped dramatically: the University of Texas (UT) Law School’s entering class in fall 1997 was less than 1 percent black; in California black enrollment dropped by 63 percent while Latino enrollment was down by 34 percent.

The U.S. Supreme Court’s 1978 decision in Regents of the University of California v. Bakke permitted colleges to consider race as one of a variety of factors in admissions, but forbade the use of racial quotas. The key opinion, by Justice Lewis Powell, cited Harvard University’s multidimensional admissions process, which seeks to promote diversity of many kinds.

The rate of access to college for black high school graduates relative to whites had reached its peak just before Bakke, because of a variety of trends in the 1960s and early 1970s. These included a vast expansion of federal aid for low-income college students; the rapid growth of low-cost four-year state colleges; and programs from the War on Poverty, such as Upward Bound, designed to identify promising low-income students and give them both training in key pre-collegiate skills and support in preparing for and applying to college. Bakke enabled colleges wanting to maintain a significant minority presence to do so even as these anti-poverty programs were dismantled in the 1980s, and in spite of continuing large gaps in the preparation of minority students.

Under Bakke, colleges were allowed to work out something short of a quota that would boost minority access. There were few legal or political challenges to these affirmative admissions programs for a generation, while public debate focused on more visible issues such as school busing, racially defined voting districts, and affirmative action in employment. The conflicts over race on campus were about curriculum, harassment, racially defined housing and educational programs, and faculty recruitment. The few researchers who concentrated on these issues gave most attention to the problems of minority students on predominantly white campuses.

Everything changed suddenly in 1996, when federal courts of appeals in Texas and California, the two largest states, outlawed race-conscious college admissions policies. Several other states were affected by a third appeals court decision in Maryland that prohibited racially targeted financial aid. The U.S. Supreme Court, which had already limited race-conscious remedies in minority contracting, voting rights, and school desegregation, refused to hear any of these three key cases, thus effectively limiting the Bakke principle in large parts of the country.

As this book is published, legislative and legal challenges to affirmative admissions have been launched in several other states. Lawyers are advising some institutions to cut back on their existing admissions policies, and minority scholarships are being terminated in a number of states. In response, civil rights groups are attacking the use of standardized tests and seeking other basic changes in college admissions policies.

Higher education is fundamentally different from other civil rights arenas. Civil rights policies are usually challenged by institutions that are being forced to pursue racial goals they oppose. Most affirmative admissions and aid policies, on the other hand, are purely voluntary efforts to achieve goals the colleges themselves support. Outside the South, colleges have not faced court orders or federal sanctions to force them to admit minority students; even in the South, there has been little such enforcement. The great majority of colleges want to maintain their civil rights policies. But white students and right-wing legal action groups trying to impose a change on these institutions are asking federal courts to prohibit these voluntary efforts and prescribe different admissions policies.

In the states most affected thus far, minority communities are reacting with shock and anger. Some campuses have erupted in protests of the sort not seen since the Vietnam War. A college education has become a central part of the American dream; slamming shut the gates of college and professional school clearly threatens the future of the communities affected. But high-pitched demands for action can lead legislatures and academic administrators to consider any alternative that sounds plausible.

Education leaders and policymakers face a difficult challenge. The courts are increasingly responsive to white claims of racial discrimination while dismissing minority concerns over the continuing effects of historic discrimination. Many campuses are therefore trying to figure out how to maintain diversity without any explicit consideration of race in admissions. It would be simple if race were simply a proxy for other conditions, but, as the research in this volume shows, it is not. Race overlaps with class, educational, and job inequality, and with geographic isolation, giving rise to the hope that one or more of those factors might be an easy substitute. But race in truth is unique in its significance and impact, both historic and contemporary.

It is also true that any overt effort to specify a set of multiple factors that are obviously intended to duplicate the effect of racial selection would be seen as defiance of the court orders, because institutions may not do by subterfuge what they are prohibited from doing directly. In this complex situation, policymakers are likely to adopt new strategies that sound as if they might work with little or no serious analysis of their viability or educational consequences. Such decisions often have unanticipated consequences. If a policy turns out to be based on unworkable premises, it could discredit the goal.

For example, if a new admissions policy succeeds in admitting many minority students with far weaker preparation than those admitted under the old policy, universities would temporarily maintain minority enrollment levels but would find themselves flunking out a growing percentage of minority students unless they mounted a massive remediation effort. Because highly selective schools have few instructors skilled in remedial work and give no rewards for such work, major problems would be likely.

Moreover, Stanford Professor Elizabeth Cohen and others have shown that race relations are improved when there is equal status interaction—that is, when racial differences are not reinforced by class differences and very large achievement differences. Admitting only very poor black or Latino students from very weak schools would tend to reinforce racial stereotypes and diminish the probability of positive interracial contacts. It would be better for developing positive race relations and reducing stereotypes to find a way to admit those minority students most ready for college work.

When race-conscious admissions policies are outlawed, the easiest alternative for colleges seeking to admit significant numbers of minorities is to target high-poverty, low-achieving schools, because very few whites attend such schools. But the students from these schools will also be the least likely to succeed in college. It is extremely difficult to identify, using only nonracial criteria, those African-American and Latino applicants most likely to succeed in a selective college, because they are often middle-class students attending more competitive, less impoverished schools. (These students, of course, still face a variety of obstacles related to historic and current forms of discrimination—obstacles that opponents of affirmative action simply deny.)

The problem is complex: any purely voluntary affirmative admissions program must produce good enough results to maintain the support, or at least the acceptance, of the faculty and administration. If the policy does not work it may be terminated at any point, leaving no policy at all and fostering a belief that there is no feasible solution. It is very important, in other words, that new policies be likely to work.

Many university leaders have strongly reaffirmed their belief that maintaining campus diversity is crucial. But belief is not enough. These leaders must be prepared both for the coming legal challenges and for the possibility that they will find their accustomed authority in these matters suddenly limited. What they will need, first of all, is much better information on the likely consequences of policy alternatives. One goal of this book is to provide that information.

The Rise and Fall of Affirmative Admissions

U.S. college campuses historically reflected the dominant groups in American society, choosing students with no interference from federal courts or agencies. There were, of course, pressures from trustees, alumni, sports teams, fund-raisers, and contributors to admit certain students. Most students were white Protestant males from more affluent and educated families. Nineteen states maintained racially separate public campuses for black and white students, and seventeen (where the large majority of blacks lived) had mandatory segregation laws until 1954. Even after the Supreme Court outlawed public school segregation, very little changed until the late 1960s.

Selective colleges historically tended to reflect the biases of the larger society, including anti-Semitism and racism. Even at the few northern colleges that admitted significant numbers of black graduate students before the civil rights era, discrimination was often overt. The University of Chicago, for example, segregated its student housing and participated in a campaign to keep its neighborhood all-white through restrictive real-estate covenants.

Things began to change after World War II, when the G.I. Bill brought hundreds of thousands of less affluent students to campus. Soon the United States began a huge expansion of higher education. During the l960s and 1970s, state and federal governments tried to make some kind of college education possible for anyone who could benefit from it. Financial aid programs were created; the War on Poverty encouraged the poor to attend college; and civil rights laws directly challenged the tradition of racial exclusion. This revolution began to open the door to white colleges for blacks.

Affirmative policies for student recruitment, admissions, and aid were important elements of this effort. Given the unequal educational backgrounds of minority students, the history of unconstitutional segregation, the continued existence of segregated and unequal public schools, the huge gaps in test scores, and the failure of limited efforts in the preceding decade to significantly integrate elite colleges and universities, many institutions devised much more focused race-conscious policies in the late l960s and early 1970s. The basic lesson of the first decade of civil rights policymaking was that the problems were systemic: they would tend to be self-perpetuating even when overt racial barriers fell. Real change, therefore, would mean prying open the doors through a conscious plan to overturn long-standing traditions.

Those policies were often attacked as government-imposed quotas, but they were actually voluntary goals. The government could have used its authority under the l964 Civil Rights Act to force change, but it did not. That law forbade discrimination in institutions receiving federal aid and gave the Department of Education authority to regulate institutions on issues of nondiscrimination. Even after the Office for Civil Rights was ordered by federal courts to require equity and desegregation plans in the states that had intentionally segregated students, it never used its power to cut off funds against those falling far short of their goals for minority access. In the rest of the nation, there were no regulations and no required plans for racial equity. The one major enforcement case developed in the 1970s, against the University of North Carolina, was quickly dropped when President Reagan took office.

Ironically, probably the most aggressive investigation of admissions issues was by the Reagan administration on behalf of Asian-American students who complained that an increased emphasis on verbal skills at the University of California (UC) at Berkeley would result in the admission of fewer Asians. Under threat, the university backed down. No similar threat regarding admissions or tests that have the effect of reducing enrollment has ever been made on behalf of black, Latino, or American Indian students. Many states, in fact, have recently adopted higher admissions requirements with disproportionate negative impact on these minorities.

Most colleges and universities devised their own policies for their own reasons. The urban upheavals of the 1960s and the assassination of Martin Luther King, Jr., lent urgency to these efforts, and fostered the belief that colleges should try to develop interracial leadership for the future good of society. Colleges exercised their traditional discretion in admissions, and their authority under Bakke, to devise policies and practices that would identify, admit, and assist larger numbers of minority students.

Even at its peak, this effort at equity fell far short of reflecting the nation’s overall population or its population of high school graduates. It came closest to equalizing rates of college entrance among white and black high school graduates in the late 1970s, just before Bakke and the rapid tuition increases and aid cuts of the l980s. But there was always a large gap in graduation rates. By the early l980s, there was a serious drop in the percentage of minority students entering college compared to whites, a racial gap that grew during the decade.

Access to college for minority families was threatened on a number of fronts. Cutbacks in state and federal funding and huge rises in tuition compounded the impact of sharp cuts in the buying power of the largest aid program, the Pell grants. The Reagan administration loosened civil rights requirements and called for the raising of entrance requirements. It also mounted an all-out attack on race-conscious civil rights remedies, announcing that states need not achieve the racial goals set for their higher education systems—even those states that had never desegregated their institutions. The administration asked the courts to permit race-based remedies only where clear discrimination was proved and, even then, only for a few years. Where there was no overt historic discrimination, it argued, no affirmative policies should be allowed because they would amount to discrimination against whites. Presidents Reagan and Bush went on to appoint the majority of all sitting federal judges; the courts increasingly leaned toward their limited vision.

By the late l990s, this view had reshaped the law of affirmative action in employment, voting rights, minority contracting, and school desegregation. In each case the Supreme Court restrained the lower federal courts, turning authority over to state and local officials. As court-imposed remedies were terminated, the courts became more responsive to claims that even voluntary race-conscious efforts discriminated against whites. The recent appeals courts’ decisions in Texas, California, and Maryland clearly reflect this transformation.

When Admissions Are Driven by Tests and Grades

Once affirmative action was stripped away in the two largest states, the consequences of ranking applicants by standardized tests became much more obvious. The studies included in this volume confirm reports from several highly selective campuses and professional schools: under the new rules there have been devastating declines in the admission of underrepresented minority students. And a recent California study suggests that, even without the use of standardized tests, differences in grades alone would produce major drops in the enrollment of black and Latino students.

Dropping racial targeting will have similar effects nationwide—particularly at the 20 percent of U.S. colleges with genuinely selective admissions—given the existing gaps in test scores and grades between whites and underrepresented minorities. Thomas Kane of Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government analyzes the probable impact of such a change on the fortunes of white applicants, compared with general public perceptions of affirmative action. Because there are far more whites in the pool of eligible applicants at selective schools, Kane reasons, a drastic reduction in the number of minorities admitted would produce only a small increase in the acceptance rates of whites and Asians. At Harvard College, for instance, even if no blacks or Latinos were admitted at all, a white or Asian applicant’s chances of acceptance would rise by only one or two percent. “If more than one or two percent of those who were originally denied admission believe that they would have been admitted but for affirmative action,” Kane writes, “then the perceived costs of the policy overstate the true cost.”

Kane’s analysis illuminates a fallacy in the thinking of many critics of affirmative action, who exaggerate its actual impact and thus play on the resentment of whites who are inclined to blame it for their own disappointments. Reversing affirmative action will cause substantial harm to minority group representation on selective campuses and deepen minority skepticism about the possibility of racial progress, and yet help few whites or Asians.

The end of affirmative action on key selective campuses will reverberate throughout the educational system. Jerome Karabel of Berkeley reports that restricting enrollment of Mexican Americans in the UC and UT systems would gravely affect Latino medical school applications nationwide. Thus the entire country’s supply of Latino doctors could be harmed by policy changes at just two large state university systems. From these and other data, Karabel concludes that the demise of affirmative action will mean “a return to a level of racial and ethnic segregation in American higher education not seen in more than a quarter of a century.” The American Medical Association reports that minority applications to medical school fell by 11 percent in 1997.

Ending affirmative action not only limits admission to higher education but also sends a much broader signal to minority groups, who are especially sensitive to symbols. In a racially polarized society, minorities watch closely for signs of hope or of reversal. When they see what seem to be unmistakable signs that doors are being closed, many decide that they will not be allowed in. So even before the new admissions policies took effect in Texas and California, there were sharp drops in the numbers of inquiries and applications from minorities. Susanna Finnell’s study of Texas A&M University documents a dramatic decline in applications from Latinos and blacks for its academic scholarships following the news that the court had outlawed affirmative action. At the same time, there was a surge of applications from whites and Asians—perhaps reflecting their overestimate of the impact of affirmative action on their groups.

Texas A&M’s academic scholarships are reserved for students with high SAT or ACT scores who are also in the top segment of the graduating class. These scholarships were originally designed in part to recruit talented minority students, who are underrepresented on campus. In the year after the Texas court of appeals decision, applications for the scholarships from Latinos dropped by 36 percent; applications from blacks dropped 71 percent. The number of white applicants went up 103 percent.

Elementary and secondary public school enrollment in Texas is now 53 percent nonwhite. If current trends continue, Latinos will be the majority group in the state’s public schools within a few years, but they will be largely excluded from its selective colleges.

Finnell describes Texas A&M’s efforts to attract minority students to its historically white campus in recent years, including a highly effective invitational summer program targeted at talented minority youth. With such racially targeted recruitment efforts now illegal in Texas, if the university wants to continue the program it must open it to whites, quintupling its size and defeating its purpose. The result is that no one is invited. An effort to overcome a campus’s historic image of racial bias through personal visits is simply abandoned. This outcome only reinforces problems rooted in a history of discrimination.

Will Race-Blind Alternatives Work?

Faced with catastrophic declines in black and Latino enrollment, policymakers and advocates in Texas and California have begun a hurried search for race-blind alternatives that seem likely to preserve some degree of diversity on campus.

Because the courts have forbidden only the consideration of race, and because affirmative action arises from notions of redressing disadvantage, people naturally think of different definitions of disadvantage that might work. The one most often discussed in affirmative action debates is poverty, because blacks, Latinos, and American Indians are much more likely than whites to be poor. They are also likely to attend segregated, high-poverty schools.

But using poverty as a proxy for race will not preserve diversity, as analyses by Kane and Karabel show. Most poor people in the United States are neither black nor Latino, and many of the minority students admitted to college through race-conscious affirmative action are not poor. A ranking of students below the poverty line by their test scores would result in a pool of favored applicants that was mostly Asian and white—many of them from temporarily poor families who managed to send their children to competitive schools that prepared them for college entrance exams.

Recent immigrants from Asia, for example, often are highly educated people who cannot practice their professions in the United States, at least until they receive a new certification; their children, however, have the immense advantage of the parents’ education and often are able to attend suburban schools because they face less housing discrimination than blacks or Latinos. The stereotype that Asian children encounter in these schools is generally positive, not negative. A policy that gives preferential admissions to such students, who enjoy family and school advantages and have experienced little discrimination in the United States, while excluding minorities who face serious discrimination, would have serious unanticipated consequences. (Some Asian refugee groups do not, of course, enjoy these advantages and in fact face problems much more like those confronting Latinos.)

To maintain the current level of black and Latino representation through preferences based on poverty instead of race, selective colleges would have to reserve six times as many places for poor students as they currently reserve for underrepresented minorities, according to Kane’s analysis. Few, if any, colleges could afford to pursue such a course.

One seemingly easy but race-blind way to insure some minority representation would be to target high-poverty schools. Very few white students attend such schools; schools in which more than 90 percent of the students are black or Latino are 16 times as likely as mostly white schools to have a majority of poor kids. It is not surprising, then, that the Texas legislature, seeking a way to preserve minority access to college, fixed on this solution. It declared that the top 10 percent of students in every high school are eligible for admission to the University of Texas. This approach includes high-poverty schools in the admissions pool, using traditional measures of achievement within the school, not race, to select individual students.

Segregation is widespread but far from absolute in Texas schools, and so there is no guarantee that the top-scoring students even in heavily nonwhite schools will be African American or Latino. But a serious problem arises from the strikingly unequal preparation of this cohort of students.

College admissions officers have long known that class rank is hardly comparable from one high school to the next. The top students in many high-poverty schools are woefully unprepared for college. Ignoring this fact and admitting these students presents universities with a difficult choice. If nothing else changes, many of the new students will simply flunk out and the policy will be discredited. To avoid this outcome, colleges will have to invest in effective remedial strategies, something selective campuses have been notoriously reluctant to do. Many, in fact, have raised their admissions requirements in recent years and cut back remedial programs. Thus, a seemingly simple solution has the unintended effect of excluding many of the best-prepared minority students and requiring other complex changes in policy.

The assault on affirmative action has brought into much sharper focus the social consequences of relying on standardized tests in the college admissions process. Black, Latino, and American Indian students have always fared poorly on such tests. The reasons for their poor performance are complex and not entirely understood. What is clear, however, is that if colleges are forced into a slavish adherence to cutoff scores in admitting applicants, the numbers of blacks, Latinos, and American Indians on campus will fall precipitously. The enrollment figures in California and Texas law and business schools have already sparked intense scrutiny of the validity and predictive power of admissions tests, and testing policies have become principal targets of civil rights advocates.

Tests are often assumed to be neutral and highly reliable measures of merit, but experts have long known that they have large margins of error in assessing any individual student, and that their overall predictive power accounts for only a modest portion of the variance in achievement among first-year college students. Given the difficulties of choosing among thousands of similar applicants, it is easy to understand why colleges rely on an indicator that helps even a little, provides very simple, easily interpreted data, and shifts the costs to the students. As the power of tests increases, however, advocates are calling for changes in the nature and uses of those tests. A university committee in California has recommended dispensing with standardized testing entirely. Others call for the construction of different kinds of assessment that are more related to actual performance on the job, or that reflect more of the talents and experiences of minority students. Some California campuses tried to do this.

Following the court decisions ending affirmative action in Texas and California, the Texas state legislature responded to large initial losses by trying to preserve minority access by providing automatic access to the university for any student finishing in the top 10 percent of his or her high school class. University of California campuses had to admit at least half of their students purely on the basis of test scores and grades; since many applicants had perfect or near-perfect grades, the test scores alone would be decisive for them. The California campuses tried to come up with a number of other measures and procedures to address other forms of disadvantage. The most selective California campuses, however, experienced drastic declines in African American, Latino, and American Indian students.

The total of African Americans, Latinos, and American Indian undergraduates admitted at Berkeley fell from 23 percent to 10 percent, and from 20 percent to 13 percent at UCLA—this at a time when the state’s minority population was rapidly rising. In Texas, in spite of the 10 percent plan, fewer blacks were admitted at Austin, and there was no increase in the number of Latinos. The group that benefited most from the 10 percent plan was Asians, who had not suffered from the end of affirmative action. At the University of Texas at Tyler, less than 15 percent of the students admitted under the 10 percent plan were minorities. The net effect was that there was no recovery from the dramatic declines that occurred following the circuit court ruling in Hopwood v. Texas. Schools in both states often mentioned the severe problems they had faced in recruiting those students who were admitted, caused by ending minority scholarships. Eligible black and Latino students had to consider whether or not to accept less financial aid, and whether to attend schools where they would be more isolated due to greatly reduced enrollment of minority students.

These issues will be addressed in detail in a future volume from the Harvard Civil Rights Project. They already figure prominently, however, in the early reaction to post-affirmative action problems in some states. One of the many ironies of the current situation is that those most convinced that tests truly measure “merit” are creating a political climate in which tests may ultimately be downgraded in importance.

Some universities have reacted to the crisis by belatedly deciding to develop admissions policies that comply with the spirit of Bakke. As Jorge Chapa and Vincent Lazaro make clear in their essay in this volume, the UT Law School provided a tempting target for white litigants because its admissions procedure clearly violated the Supreme Court’s Bakke principle—that race could be considered only as one of many variables in a complex admissions process. Too many selective public universities did not create such a process; they simply used the standard test scores and grades and added in race. The UT Law School created a “Texas Index” by combining test scores and grades, and then treated minority and white applicants differently. It was a two-factor analysis—nothing like the Bakke model. This meant that applicants were arrayed on a relatively simple continuum and admissions decisions were then adjusted by taking race into account as the decisive factor.

At very selective colleges where many applicants have high grades and the choice hangs on just two variables—tests scores and race—the admissions process is particularly vulnerable to challenge. Because such systems use no other cross-cutting factors, the loss of minority students can be precipitous once race is eliminated as a criterion. Certainly any campus that retains such a flawed process after the appeals court ruling in Hopwood is exposing itself to the maximum risk of judicial takeover of its admissions process.

Complying with the Bakke model is a logical but costly alternative. A study of changes in the admissions process at UC Irvine by Susan Wilbur and Marguerite Bonous-Hammarth suggests that a multidimensional system of assessing student potential can help produce a more diverse campus. They report that the new system, implemented in the wake of a UC regents’ vote ending affirmative action, resulted in significant increases in the admission of black and Latino applicants above the numbers admitted through a simple formula based on tests and grades. Their study suggests that if public universities invest in admissions processes designed to assess a broader array of talents, they may be able to remain diverse. The Irvine system did this, but the campus still had substantial drops in black and Latino admissions in 1998.

Still another important way of thinking about the problem is to reconceptualize the goals of the selection process. Admissions criteria should be seen as a way to fulfill the values of the institution and to create the most effective learning community that embodies those values. Advocates of a one-dimensional “merit”-based system seem to suggest that admission to college is simply a reward for the students who are most “deserving,” as measured on the scale of test scores and grades. But universities are not passive receptacles; they are dynamic communities that profoundly affect the development of students on many dimensions that are not readily quantified. The most important intellectual interactions many students ever experience take place in college—often with other students. Universities must foster the creation of knowledge and the training of leadership for the community and its professions. Because of these critical functions of universities, admissions processes reflect considerations important to the fulfillment of community as well as individual goals. This is precisely what the Supreme Court recognized in the Bakke case.

Gregory Tanaka, Marguerite Bonous-Hammarth, and Alexander Astin suggest in this volume that it would be appropriate for universities to make interracial experience a “plus factor” for admissions. They cite evidence that multiracial campuses offer important advantages and that creating such communities should be a fundamental goal of a university in diverse society. Their research suggests that students who bring interracial experience with them to college may be valuable assets for these institutions. Diversity by itself, without people who understand how to make it work, may confer fewer benefits and create more problems than on campuses with many such people. If it is reasonable, Tanaka and colleagues argue, to give admissions preference to student athletes on the grounds that they enhance student life and increase external support for the school, is it not also reasonable to consider experience and skills in multiracial settings an asset? Positive race relations contribute to both the productive sharing of ideas on campus and to good institutional relationships with the outside community.

There may be other legitimate considerations in admissions. Because most colleges look only at English verbal test scores, they often underestimate students who have another first language. Outside the United States, fluency in two or more languages is considered a hallmark of an educated person. In the United States, by contrast, it is rare for students to graduate from college with a working knowledge of a second language, in spite of the importance of such knowledge in a global economy. Demonstrated fluency in a second world language could well be a plus factor in admissions decisions.

Other attributes and skills directly relate to success in careers and professions and could be incorporated into the admissions process. Leadership talent, the ability to work with others, verbal confidence, resilience, perseverance in the face of setbacks, and many other qualities are valued by employers and could be considered by admissions committees. Colleges have every right to take such qualities into account.

Every crisis presents opportunities for progress. In the long run, colleges and universities must take advantage of the affirmative action crisis to sharpen and reaffirm their goals, to develop recruitment and admissions policies that look at the whole person and recognize more of the accomplishments of minority students, and to reflect critically on how better to achieve their goals after the students arrive on campus. In the short run, however, a great deal remains at risk.

Conclusion and Recommendations

The reversal of affirmative admissions in higher education can drastically reduce black, Latino, and American Indian enrollment on highly selective campuses. The increased use of tests and grades as entrance standards will tend to exacerbate the existing inequities in U.S. society. If affirmative action is outlawed nationally, as it has been in Texas, the impact on access to leading public and private universities would be enormous. Many of our most able students would find themselves on campuses overwhelmingly dominated by white and Asian students. The severe isolation characteristic of our more affluent suburbs would become the rule in the institutions that train the leaders of our society and our professions. This threatens critical educational functions of universities and their ability to fully serve their communities.

The research reported in this volume shows that there is no good substitute for affirmative admissions efforts targeted at historically excluded groups. Any substitute criteria will be likely to bypass many of the best-prepared black and Latino students, who may face many forms of racial discrimination but are neither poor nor isolated in the weakest schools.

The likely outcome of substituting poverty for race will be the admission of fewer and less-prepared black and Latino students. Therefore, the highest priorities for supporters of minority access to college should be:

  • a vigorous defense of race-conscious affirmative action admissions policies that comply with Bakke, which rightly called for the creation of a multidimensional admissions process that takes account of a wide variety of applicants’ talents;
  • documentation of the academic benefits of diversity (the subject of the second volume in this series); and
  • strong efforts to counter inaccurate and polarizing claims about minority admissions.

If affirmative action is struck down, universities should undertake a long-overdue examination of the entire admissions process. The same kind of narrow formulaic approach that is most likely to exclude minorities is also likely to exclude other students with talents that are not easily measured by tests and grades and, conversely, to reward students from the most affluent and educated families and communities. If colleges define “merit” as, in effect, being born into a highly educated, suburban white or Asian family and attending a highly competitive white high school, they are serving to maintain a stratified society rather than to truly reward merit and ability. As access to college becomes more and more decisive in shaping life chances, leaders of higher education have a growing responsibility to reach out for talent and make mobility possible. Universities that grafted affirmative action onto a flawed admissions process a quarter century ago now risk losing diversity unless they build a better process. Even if they eventually are successful in defending affirmative action in the Supreme Court, the radical reversals in some regions, the experiments they produce, and the legitimate criticisms of some of the existing systems all argue for change.

The essays in this book show that research can play an important role in the affirmative action debate. But far too few rigorous studies have addressed the important issues raised in the courts and in political debates. Very little previous work addressed the basic issues before the courts today; researchers could, for example, contribute important knowledge on the history of discrimination and its continuing effects, which is the strongest legal basis for race-conscious policies. Documenting the nature of the disadvantages that middle-class blacks and Latinos still face is crucial for their continued access to higher education.

The rollback of affirmative action in higher education requires all members of the university community to consider soberly a profound social change that they have hitherto taken for granted. A generation of multiracial campuses—the only such generation in U.S. history—was the product of both a great social movement and the commitment of university leaders three decades ago. Too little has been done to renew that commitment or to make the resulting levels of diversity work even better.

Now that our campuses are threatened with a return to almost total domination by the most privileged racial and ethnic communities, educational and political leaders must ask how much they value that hard-won diversity and what they are willing to do to keep it. From that debate could emerge a new understanding of common goals—and the energy to build a more democratic system for educating the future leaders of our rapidly changing society.